2014 PRI Ratings, Week 9

The Massey Index culls data from 101 different computer rankings.  All 101 computers had four SEC teams in the top 4.  Obviously, these are not included in that index, but I'm still pretty pleased with what I am seeing so far.

The new methodology I experimented with in the spring will be posted next week.

2014 Lock Of The Week, Week 9

It's a triple barrel week, because when you're the Angel Of Death, why not.

Mississippi State -15 @ Kentucky

Michigan @ Michigan State total points 48.5 under

Syracuse @ Clemson total points 47.5 under

Yeah, betting on Michigan State and Clemson games. When you're 2-8-1 on the season, again, why not?

Last week:  Baylor -7.5 @ West Virginia (incorrect)

2014 Ratings, Week 8

Pretty volatile results from Week 6 to now, as you'll be able to see on the Delta tab.  Teams adding road wins to their resume tend to have that happen.

The numbers like Mississippi State more than I do, and agree with the analytics crowd on Ohio State. Very curious to see what happens when I add the performance element in a couple of weeks.

2014 Lock Of The Week, Week 8

So this happened:




Yikes.  For this week:

Baylor -7.5 @ West Virginia

West Virginia's defense is still pretty porous:  92nd in yards per play allowed.  They're improved, but they also had their own come from behind victory last week against far lesser opposition.  At least I can recall that sequence; parts of Saturday are a bit fuzzy, may need to cut back on the 100-proof Trons next year.

Last week:  Georgia -3 @ Missouri

                    East Carolina -16 @ South Florida

 

Both incorrect.  Season:  2-7-1

2014 Lock Of The Week, Week 7

Another double barrel week, and I made the decision to bet on the Georgia game before Gurley got suspended.  I think I was due.

Georgia -3 @ Missouri
East Carolina -16 @ South Florida

Last week:

Alabama -6.5 @ Mississippi (incorrect)

Kansas State -12.5 v. Texas Tech (correct)

Season:  2-5-1

2014 Ratings, Week 6

Here are the first ratings of the season.  No idea when updates will be coming, the next one will be after week 8 due to travel.  I'll probably begin correlations that week as well.  As shown last year, this system rewards winning on the road, and the teams close to the top have multiple road wins through six weeks of play.

2014 Lock Of The Week, Week 6

Yes, there was a lock made last week I just forgot to post it.

It's another double barrel week:

Alabama -6.5 @ Mississippi

I expect a comfortable Alabama win.  Mississippi is perhaps the most overrated team in the country, based on SEC and a good fourth quarter against a Boise State team that lost to Air Force last week.  Plus, Saban had a bye week.

Kansas State -12.5 v. Texas Tech

TxTech's QB is injured and may not play, their defense is woeful, and the entire team lacks discipline.  K-State is the opposite of those three things, and the game is in Manhattan.

Last week:  Stanford -7 @ Washington (push)  Way to stop the rot.

Season: 1-4-1