2016-17 Bowl Picks

This will be updated as the bowl season progresses.

2016 Final Ratings

You'll have to do some scrolling.

So to review:

PRI and PRI+ you're familiar with

Recency weights recent results more

OOC measures a team's non-conference schedule

FCS, on the fourth tab, is what a team's score looks like removing a team's worst opponent.

The set of numbers that struck me the most were the full season SOS numbers, which were about 10% worse than the numbers last season, which makes sense for such a middling season that lacked the chaos we've come to expect from the sport.

Again, I am pleased with the four playoff teams.  Auburn sticks out like a sore thumb for the NY6, but the Sugar's hand is forced for that selection.  What's interesting is five years ago the outcry over a team with Western Michigan's resume not being in the BCS would have been deafening;  you didn't hear a peep about that this year.

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 14

For the final time in a lucrative year:

Navy -2.5 v. Temple

Navy is at home, playing at a very high level and has a chance at it's first conference title.  Temple has an excellent defense as has become their style, but I think Navy is a FG better at home.

Last week:  USC -17 v. Notre Dame (correct)

Season:  9-3-1

Season overall:  119-116-4(-$970, assuming $110 bets)

There will be bowl bets as well.  I'll also pick Army/Navy if Navy remains ranked.