2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 8

Armed Forces:  California -6.5 v. Air Force
Russell Athletic:  North Carolina -3.5 v. Baylor
Arizona:  Colorado State -3.5 v. Nevada
Texas:  LSU -7 v. Texas Tech

Bowl Season:  8-12

2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 7

Military:  Navy -3 v. Pittsburgh 
Quick Lane:  Minnesota -4.5 v. Central Michigan

Bowl Season:  7-11

2016 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 6

St. Petersburg:  Marshall -5 v. Connecticut
Sun:  Washington State -2.5 v. Miami
Heart Of Dallas:  Washington -8.5 v. Southern Miss
Pinstripe:  Indiana -2.5 v. Duke
Independence Virginia Tech -14 v. Tulsa
Foster Farms:  UCLA -6.5 v. Nebraska

Bowl Season:  4-7

2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 5

Yesterday was a bit of a disaster, eh?

Bahamas:  Western Michigan -4.5 v. Middle Tennessee State
Hawaii:  San Diego State -3 v. Cincinnati

Bowl Season:  3-7

2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 4

Pointsettia:  Boise State -9.5 v. Northern Illinois
Go Daddy:  Bowling Green -7 v. Georgia Southern

Bowl Season:  3-5

2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 3

Potato:  Utah State -6.5 v. Akron
Boca Raton:  Temple -2.5 v. Toledo

Bowl Season:  3-3

2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 2

Miami Beach:  Western Kentucky -1.5 v. South Florida

Bowl Season:  3-2

2015 Final Ratings

As always, thank you for your patronage.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ExzxIJBd3zZ-IyqBYVDd-zSRXj3650jRvFbk5uo_uuY/edit?usp=sharing

Playoff teams all within the top 12 is reasonable.  If last year is any indication, it'll be a MSU v. Oklahoma final.

Florida State gets to play a bowl above their station based on resume.  As per usual.

The SOS tab has schedule strength for the full season and just the non-conference portion (OOC).  SEC bringing up the rear.

The comparison tab offers 4 different calculations for your viewing, and an average of the four.  They are:

-the normal ratings

-the normal ratings with a recency bias applied.  Wins later in the season mean more and wins earlier in the season mean less.

-the performance metric with a recency bias applied.  This one needs some work, as you'll see.  I used S&P as the model for projected performance this year, and wasn't happy with how it performed this season.  Might use another projection if it won't make the data entry difficult.

-"FCS" is a rating that removes a team's worst opponent and the corresponding result from a team's resume.  As the title implies, it was usually as simple as just removing a FCS team.

2015 Bowl-O-Rama, Day 1

Lock of the week finishes 7-9-1.

17-20 last season.  40 to choose from this year.

New Mexico:  Arizona -9.5 v. New Mexico
Las Vegas:  Utah -2.5 v. BYU
Camellia:  Appalachian State -7.5 v. Ohio
Cure:  San Jose State -1.5 v. Georgia State
New Orleans:  Louisiana Tech -1.5 v. Arkansas State

2015 Lock Of The Week, Week 15

One last time.  Last week's gambit didn't go as planned, and it's another season under 500.  I want to end on a positive note, and so to stop the rot I've decided to go with...Clemson?

Clemson -4.5 v. North Carolina

I'm happy to take Clemson favored by less than a TD.

Last week:

Ohio State -1 @ Michigan

Stanford -3.5 v. Notre Dame

Both incorrect, to bring me to 6-9-1 on the year.

2015 Ratings, Week 13

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YrdlcqUkWl-HnqqXKkHpM5ohwq_JaJ-mXPDrMet77Dc/edit?usp=sharing

Ohio State and Oklahoma make the leap over Michigan State due to quality road wins.

I'll be adding conference championship games officially this year.  They've taken on more importance since the playoff has come into being, and with the advent of 14-team conferences, the chances are good you'll be meeting a team with a superb resume from the other division.

Final ratings will be out before the first bowl games.