Sunday, December 20, 2015

2015 Final Ratings

As always, thank you for your patronage.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ExzxIJBd3zZ-IyqBYVDd-zSRXj3650jRvFbk5uo_uuY/edit?usp=sharing

Playoff teams all within the top 12 is reasonable.  If last year is any indication, it'll be a MSU v. Oklahoma final.

Florida State gets to play a bowl above their station based on resume.  As per usual.

The SOS tab has schedule strength for the full season and just the non-conference portion (OOC).  SEC bringing up the rear.

The comparison tab offers 4 different calculations for your viewing, and an average of the four.  They are:

-the normal ratings

-the normal ratings with a recency bias applied.  Wins later in the season mean more and wins earlier in the season mean less.

-the performance metric with a recency bias applied.  This one needs some work, as you'll see.  I used S&P as the model for projected performance this year, and wasn't happy with how it performed this season.  Might use another projection if it won't make the data entry difficult.

-"FCS" is a rating that removes a team's worst opponent and the corresponding result from a team's resume.  As the title implies, it was usually as simple as just removing a FCS team.

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