Monday, November 5, 2018

2018 PRI Ratings, Week 10






Week 10 adds the performance metric.  I've changed how I've done the calculations, the differences are less severe than previous years.  However, the calculations are now way easier so that may be part of the suite of results from the start next season.  I'm working on how to calculate the efficiency metric as well.  I'm getting to be like Sagarin here.

How high does Alabama climb before their inevitable fall after Week 12's SoCon challenge?  Also, with games against Lafayette and Colgate on deck, we will be saying farewell to Army from the top 10, although the latter game is actually one of the more fascinating clashes of a pedestrian week 12 seeing as Colgate has allowed 6 points their last 7 games, and none in their last three.

Alabama/Clemson/Notre Dame/Michigan seems like a safe bet for the playoff four if the latter two win out (I don't think there's much question about the former two).  Michigan v. 1-loss Big 12 is an interesting debate comparing resumes, but ultimately it's going to be a subjective evaluation of who "looks" like a better team.  WVA is really getting hurt so far by that cancelled game at North Carolina State.  A win there would have them up in my top 25 instead of mired in the 40s.

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