Anything happen since last we spoke?
So the usual off-season timeline is to create the season template in April and do predictions in August. My thought after April was that all that work was probably for naught. And so it was.
Pac-12 and Big 10 were first out of the blocks with their revised schedules, and they were the first edits to the template. That too was a waste.
Games were still being added as I was doing these predictions, adding to the complexity, all the way up until yesterday when Notre Dame-Wake Forest became a true road game for ND.
And it still all looks so weird. We always knew that the non-conference schedules inflated these win totals, but how much has been made very clear. And despite what the increasingly out of touch pundit class claims, there's no chance conferences will ever try to do more than 9 conference games for that exact reason. I look at a lot of those SEC schools who would have gone 5-7/6-6 (2-6) but are going to end up with 2 or 3 wins total.
If anyone tries to make a go of it in the spring, I'll add their ratings in after the fact.
If the Committee doesn't pick a Group of 5 team for the playoff this year, they never will. These predictions lend themselves to an easy selection: Alabama, Clemson, Memphis & Texas, with the only point of "contention" would be over an undefeated AppState. A weak schedule compared to the other candidates is where they would fall short.
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