Friday, October 2, 2020

2020 Lock Of The Week - Week 5

I'm going to keep picking VaTech, ULLAF and Marshall games after they were bounced from the Top 25 until they lose a game.  I'm sure VaTech will be in the top 25 eventually.

Virginia Tech

11.0

Duke

BYU

24.0

Louisiana Tech

Florida

18.0

South Carolina

Texas

11.5

Texas Christian

Tennessee

12.5

Missouri

Pittsburgh

14.0

North Carolina State

Alabama

18.0

Texas A&M

North Carolina

14.0

Boston College

Cincinnati

21.0

South Florida

Oklahoma State

22.0

Kansas

Memphis

2.0

SMU

Georgia

6.5

Auburn

Central Florida

21.5

Tulsa

Mississippi State

17.0

Arkansas

Oklahoma

7.0

Iowa State

LSU

21.0

Vanderbilt

Clemson

28.0

Virginia

Kansas State

2.5

Texas Tech



A short line here for various reasons:

  • letdown after Oklahoma
  • COVID depth issues
  • K-State penalty issues
  • Tech really should have beaten Texas last week and left all sorts of points on the field even before their collapse

But that last point means there's also a letdown effect for Tech and they have the worse defense of the two.  I think the line gives great value here, and the math I look at agrees.


Last week: Baylor -17.5 v Kansas (correct)

Lock 3-0
Season overall 14-21-2

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