For Entertainment Purposes Only Stone Cold Lock Of The Week, Week 14

North Carolina -6.5 v. Duke 

UNC has been playing very well after a 1-5 start, and are an unranked favorite at home over a ranked team.  That's always a good sign.

Last week:  Kansas State -4.5 v. Oklahoma (incorrect)

Season: 5-7-1

2013 Week 13 Ratings

While the correlation between rating and SOS continues to worsen, I was shocked by Alabama's precipitous fall this week, even with the knowledge that I make an FCS opponent as punitive as possible in the formula, win or lose.  A win against Auburn will be a big rebound, even with their woeful schedule strength.

MSU has made a huge climb, almost 50 spots since week 7.

For Entertainment Purposes Only Stone Cold Lock Of The Week, Week 13

Better late than never.

It's been a real struggle this year, but wins these next three weeks will still lead to a money making season.

Kansas State -4.5 v. Oklahoma

I believe this line is low, and therefore great value, due to the usual mistakes of underrating Kansas State and overrating of Oklahoma, particularly on the heels of a less-impressive-than-it-looked victory over Iowa State last week.  Oklahoma is missing a ton on offense due to injury and suspension, and their play calling has been pedestrian and uninspired this season.   

Last week:  South Carolina -12.5 v. Florida (incorrect)

Season:  5-6-1

2013 Week 12 Ratings

A couple of quick notes:

-This is one of the most static top 15 or so on a week-to-week basis that I can recall.

-I'm really surprised at not only the lack of correlation between strength of schedule and rating, and the steady worsening of that correlation.  This season, for whatever reason the teams with the hardest schedules are also some of the worst teams, with a couple of exceptions.

For Entertainment Purposes Only Stone Cold Lock Of The Week, Week 12

South Carolina -12.5 v. Florida

This seems to be a pretty easy call.  South Carolina will gradually cover against a team with no offense.

Last week:  Michigan -6.5 v. Nebraska (incorrect)

Season:  5-5-1

2013 Week 11 Ratings

I continue to be pleased with these ratings.  Very curious to see what a victory at Auburn will do for Alabama, and how Ohio State's resume looks going forward.

For Entertainment Purposes Only Stone Cold Lock Of The Week, Week 11

Michigan -6.5 v. Nebraska

Nebraska's three conference wins are against teams a combined 0-13 in conference play.  The defense is a shambles, almost losing to a team that had net 43 yards passing last week because they are unable to stop the run.  In the Disappointment Bowl, I look for the home team to answer the call after last week's pitiful display.

Last week:  Auburn -7.5 @ Arkansas (correct)

Season:  5-4-1

2013 PRI Ratings, Week 10

A pretty bland weekend unsurprisingly meant very little change to the ratings after week 10.  Wisconsin surged after that big road win over Iowa.

Cincinnati's SOS somehow got even worse.

For Entertainment Purposes Only Stone Cold Lock Of The Week, Week 10

Back on the attack in a big way last week.  Slim choices this week.

Auburn -7.5 @ Arkansas

This line has dropped all week, which I'll gladly take.  I'm guessing that it's due to concerns over the health of Nick Marshall and that some people think that giving MASTER STRATEGIST Bret Bielema an extra week to prepare will make a difference.  Auburn's defense is actually above average and Arkansas is terrible.  I like Gus to run up the score here.

Last week:  Ohio State -15 v. Penn State (correct)

Season:  4-4-1