2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 5

Betting a lot of favorites this week.  Could be lucrative or that chalk will be less than appetizing.

Washington -3.5 v. Stanford.

We return to the Pac-12 Friday Night Game of Record again this week.  I'm not quite sold on Washington just yet, nor is Vegas which is why the line is pretty low.  Stanford is still breaking in a new QB, is missing both their starting CB's and isn't getting the greatest play out of it's OL at the moment.  Second straight road game against a team looking to make a statement is a tough ask.

Last week:  Utah -3 v. USC (correct)
Season:  3-0-1
Season overall:  31-35-1 (-$750, assuming $110 bets)

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 4

Utah -3 v. USC

A RS FR QB making his first start on the road against a nasty defense and coached by Clay Helton.  I'll bet the other way.

Last week:  Oregon +3 @ Nebraska (push). Thanks, Helfrich.
Season:  2-0-1
Season overall:  21-29-1 (-$1090, assuming $110 bets)

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 3

Oregon +3 @ Nebraska

I normally bet the other way with a unranked home favorite v. ranked opposition, but I am at a loss as to explain what exactly the oddsmakers are seeing in Nebraska.  Probably more a statement on Oregon:  that Brady Hoke defense has yet to light the world on fire, but Oregon's main weakness is run defense, and Nebraska has a banged up offensive line that struggles to run the football.

This line suggests the teams are even and I believe Oregon to be superior.  Plus they're getting points.

Last week:  Alabama -28.5 v. Western Kentucky (correct)
Season:  2-0
Season overall:  14-19 (-$690, assuming $110 bets)

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 2

Pedestrian doesn't begin to describe this week, with a slew of unappetizing choices for the viewer and punter.  I am not confident at all of these picks because of the high spreads involved but I am confident in:

Alabama -29 v. Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky is a quality offense that should be able to keep it within 28 points.  I see this cover coming in through the back door as Saban takes his foot off the gas in the second half with a massive revenge spot at Mississippi on deck next week.

Last week:  Texas A&M -3 v. UCLA (correct)
Season:  1-0
Season overall:  7-9 (-$290, assuming $110 bets for each game)

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 1

This year, you will get all of my weekly picks.  Still only one lock most weeks.




Texas A&M - 3 v. UCLA is the opening selection.  In the Mercurial Bowl, take the home team.  I think the Aggie DL will have it's way with the UCLA OL.  Trouble's a Bruin for Josh Rosen.

Last season:  7-9-1