Saturday, October 31, 2015

2015 Lock Of The Week, Week 9

Over .500 for the first time in a couple of seasons.  Weakest slate of the season, and weakest that I can recall.


Michigan -14 @ Minnesota


I think Michigan will win outright, but I don't think Michigan's offense is good enough to be laying two touchdowns on the road, at night, against a rival with a sound defense and a team that will be fired up after losing their coach.


Last week:  Kansas State @ Texas Total Points: 50.5 (Under) (Correct)
Season:  5-4-1

Saturday, October 24, 2015

2015 Lock Of The Week, Week 8

Kansas State @ Texas Total Points:  50.5. Taking the under.

Normally don't go off the top 25 on games unless it involves MSU or Michigan, but since Washington-Stanford is off the board for some reason, I'll use this in it's place.  The forecast calls for prodigious rain here in Austin Saturday which won't help these struggling offenses get to 51 points.

Last week:  Stanford -6.5 v. UCLA (correct)
Season:  4-4-1

That should have been my lock of the season.

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

2015 Ratings, Week 7

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1B1RINLNHcZCRaoiQuQbVIHBgPQoYkF4QswHzb_azEiE/edit?usp=sharing

I've rarely, if ever, been so pleased with ratings so early in a season.  Of the 6 teams I consider real contenders for the playoffs, for whatever reason: MSU, OSU, Stanford, Alabama, TCU and Clemson, only Clemson is outside of the top 40.  Although historically, Alabama has dropped through the trap door after their SoCon Challenge game.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

2015 Lock Of The Week, Week 7

Stanford -6.5 v. UCLA

 UCLA is the embodiment of the Pac-12:  mercurial and hard to predict.  Jim Mora is 0-4 v. Stanford and has a freshman QB on the road v. a veteran team.  I like Stanford to win rather easily, even though I will see little of this game.

Last week:

Toledo -14.5 v. Kent State (correct)
Season:  3-4-1

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

2015 PRI Ratings, Week 6

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RnO1XTqwC3a0elH6tJSEqlF6if2Vp_f7T2e_imVNDcs/edit?usp=sharing

UMass' schedule is pretty high, and Texas' blows it away.  The highest I've ever calculated.

I'm pretty pleased with these thus far.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

2015 Lock Of The Week, Week 6

Toledo -14.5 v. Kent State

The Rockets are ranked, which means this is eligible for selection.  Toledo doesn't have the most robust offense, which is why this is barely 2 TD's, but Kent State isn't all that good.

Last week:  
Georgia -2 v. Alabama (correct)
Wisconsin -7 v. Iowa (incorrect)

Season:  2-4-1. I think Wisconsin is on the "do not lock" list from now on.

Saturday, October 3, 2015

2015 Lock Of The Week, Week 5

Very quickly since I'm on the road again:

Georgia -2 v. Alabama
Wisconsin -7 v. Iowa

Last week:

TCU - 6.5 @ Texas Tech (correct)
Texas -3 v. Oklahoma State (push)

Season:  1-3-1