2017 Week 12 Ratings

That is one crazy non-adjusted Top 25.

Surprised Alabama stayed steady.

Surprised that 1-2 in both ratings are the same.

Nothing final until after Army-Navy since that game will have an impact on top 5 teams.

2017 Lock Of The Week, Week 13

This late season swoon has coincided with a lack of confidence in this point spreads.  It's been like picking NFL games in November.

Virginia Tech -7 @ Virginia

This may be Virginia's best opportunity to win this rivalry game since their last win in 2003.  VT's offense has totally fallen apart in November so I'll take the home dog in a low-scoring affair.

Last week:  USC -16 v. UCLA (incorrect)

Season:  6-6

2017 Week 12 Ratings

A day late, but not a dollar short this week due to travel.  Southern Cupcake Weekend always takes it's toll on southern powers, and this weekend was no different.

2017 Lock Of The Week, Week 12

Very quickly since I'm on the road.

USC -16 v. UCLA

Last week:  Ohio State -17 v. Michigan State (incorrect)

Season:  6-5

2017 Week 11 Ratings

It finally occurred to me that I should display how the top teams from last week are ranked this week on the Delta tab.  Highly ranked teams playing other highly ranked teams kept the top of the ratings more or less the same.

Delta+ is a much easier way to see the original rankings v. when the performance metric is applied.

2017 Lock Of The Week, Week 11

For the first time in almost 6 years:

Ohio State -17 v. Michigan State

The last time I picked the alma mater was the 2011 B1G Championship where MSU was +9 against a Wisconsin team they had already beaten.

As a fan, I'm concerned that I am missing something huge here other than Buckeyes and their money soon being parted.  I looked at about 10 computer picks;  all of them have OSU straight up but none by this margin.  The Meyer-Dantonio series is 121-120 in favor of Meyer.  The road team has won the last five games in this series.  You can't run on MSU and OSU gets in trouble when they can't run the ball effectively.

It's just way too many points to give.

Last week:  Oklahoma State -1.5 v. Oklahoma (incorrect)

Season:  6-4

2017 Week 10 Ratings

I can't defend that Florida State ranking.

I added the PRI+ performance metric this week.  Certainly shows why the current Playoff Four are thought of the way they are.  The decision between Clemson and Oklahoma if both teams win out will be a fascinating one.  A two-loss Big Ten champ helps the committee greatly.  I don't think undefeated Central Florida would be considered.

2017 Lock Of The Week, Week 10

I had been waiting for last week's correction for some time.

Oklahoma State -1.5 v. Oklahoma

A Bedlam shootout.  This spread is far too generous for a team with a defense like Oklahoma's.


Last week:  Memphis -11 v. Tulane (correct)
Season:  6-3