2016 PRI Ratings, Week 13

I'm not going to be the one to argue against Ohio State's resume.

I'm very interested to see what happens to the teams currently sitting 2-10 after the "extra data point" is applied after the conference title games are decided.

Final ratings after Army-Navy.

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 13

USC -17 v. Notre Dame

Another bet against a team that probably would rather be doing anything else than playing USC on Saturday.  Notre Dame has cratered on offense and it's hard to see much scoring from them.  We could be in for another memorable crushing.

Last week:  Nebraska -13 v. Maryland (correct)

Season:  8-3-1

Season overall:  107-112-3(-$1730, assuming $110 bets)

2016 PRI Ratings, Week 12

The SEC/FCS Challenge takes it's usual pre-Thanksgiving weekend toll.

The current top 5 all won road games this week.

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 12

Nebraska -13 v. Maryland

This line seems low to me which perhaps should be worrying.  Maryland just appears to have down tools for the season, particularly a defense which has totally collapsed.  Nebraska to win big on Senior Day in Lincoln.

Or perhaps they should be worried because the three teams I considered locking up last week lost, as did Louisville this week.

Last week:  Washington -8.5 v. USC (incorrect)

Season:  7-3-1

Season overall:  94-105-3(-$2260, assuming $110 bets)

2016 PRI Ratings, Week 11

I think Alabama will hold on to #1 even after playing Chattanooga next week.  They are also outperforming the spread by a considerable margin.  I'll be interested to see if anyone can catch them, because their next three opponents aren't great from a numbers standpoint.

I'm curious to see how the committee's final selection will leave most unhappy.  Alabama, and maybe Ohio State now that they seem to be over a mid-season swoon are the only top teams without massive flaws.  That was a real egg laid by Washington.

That big Pitt upset caused a tremendous surge.

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 11

Washington -8.5 v. USC

I think this spread overvaules USC.  During their current five-game winning streak, the only good team they've defeated was Colorado (and imagine that sentence 2 months ago).  Husky Stadium, a redshirt freshman QB and the Washington defense suggests a double-digit Washington victory to me.

Last week:  Baylor -8 v. TCU (incorrect)

Season:  7-2-1

Season overall:  84-94-2 (-$2150, assuming $110 bets)

2016 PRI Ratings, Week 10

PRI + is my performance metric, basically compiled by how a team performed vs how they were expected to perform.  Scroll over to see it.

Washington continues to ascend and has quality teams on their schedule going forward, so I expect their rise to continue.

2016 Lock Of The Week, Week 10

I knew Kansas would be my doom.  A monstrous 23 game slate this week might end any hopes of finishing in the black overall this regular season.

Baylor -8 v. TCU

Again, betting against Kenny Hill seems to be a lucrative prospect.

Last week:  Oklahoma -40.5 v. Kansas (correct)

Season:  7-1-1

Season overall:  71-83-2 (-$2140, assuming $110 bets)